Once again, the elephant in the room is this guy. As I've said for 4 years now that Muqtada holds the key to our "winning" in Iraq. If he decides to let the US slide outta there, nice and quiet, it won't be like the fall of Saigon.
However, if the winds change and he deploys a million guys with a million Kalashnikovs, we're righteously fucked on the road back to Kuwait.
Now of course the Council on Foreign Relations will tell you it's only 100, 000 dudes, but we all know how well informed they've been in the past.
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